Swarm AI predicts the 2016 Kentucky Derby

A software platform that uses the intelligence of the crowd to make collective decisions predicts the horses that will come in first, second, third, and fourth at the Kentucky Derby.

DATE: 06/05/2016

Unanimous A.I.has built a software platform called UNU that harnesses the power of the crowd to make predictions. Instead of the popular neural network, which emulates brain activity, "swarm AI" looks to a different part of nature: The insect swarm. The concept is that the various units of the group will influence each other in order to arrive at a correct decision—one that is more accurate than any individual prediction.

The tool has been remarkably accurate in the past, predicting winners for the Super Bowl, Oscars, and even predicting how political candidates would perform in the primaries. For the 2015 Oscars, a group of seven UNU users (all non-experts) accurately predicted 11 out of 15 categories correctly—in under a minute. The 73% success rate beat experts at the New York Times, who only achieved 55% accuracy.



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